Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.269632 1.508563 1.759619 2.041343 2.347018 2.667139 3.026241
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.912127 1.236778 1.601311 2.033491 2.525084 3.060870 3.683245
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.689548 1.043181 1.461606 1.977920 2.584393 3.262601 4.067502
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.516609 0.880147 1.334271 1.916692 2.621241 3.427105 4.401091
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.399052 0.765072 1.246410 1.885206 2.677372 3.600245 4.731842
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.328888 0.702290 1.215849 1.916822 2.803281 3.850634 5.148816
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.265092 0.637264 1.173828 1.926940 2.897387 4.059163 5.513533
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.201161 0.559563 1.105528 1.895745 2.934487 4.195066 5.789117
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.184070 0.556859 1.142192 2.003114 3.146304 4.543082 6.318144
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.169643 0.556151 1.180283 2.111591 3.359299 4.892796 6.849954
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.159579 0.561682 1.226813 2.231283 3.586869 5.260950 7.404906
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.153526 0.573836 1.283008 2.364377 3.832220 5.651776 7.988333
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.127205 0.543169 1.275339 2.414225 3.978391 5.932048 8.454308
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.096737 0.495757 1.237426 2.419509 4.065844 6.140408 8.835478
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.062678 0.425702 1.154274 2.353238 4.053030 6.218727 9.053829
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.037228 0.362793 1.075263 2.287350 4.036560 6.289420 9.260513
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.021578 0.316864 1.019854 2.251921 4.057460 6.404218 9.518323
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.014488 0.297200 1.011171 2.287099 4.175276 6.643557 9.931521
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.008120 0.271842 0.988338 2.298202 4.258302 6.837187 10.287239
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002740 0.235757 0.938883 2.263745 4.275011 6.943026 10.531660
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002385 0.243794 0.983257 2.382331 4.510343 7.336292 11.140061
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002079 0.251962 1.028036 2.501891 4.747552 7.732668 11.753259
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001998 0.263260 1.079915 2.633522 5.002596 8.153187 12.397904